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Wednesday 4 December 2013

Why Egypt’s Botched Coup might Stay Long


The outside intrigue and later complete material backing of the 3 July coup makes it a long drawn battle to accomplish the return of democracy in Egypt, observes MOHAMMAD PERVEZ BILGRAMI

An online conversation with a senior member of Foreign Affairs Committee of the Freedom and Justice Party (FJP), the political wing of now banned Muslim Brotherhood (MB), a few days ago ended with the note: “However the coup has its failure seeds inside it; nothing is predictable in a short period of time in Egypt. However I believe this battle will be a long one as it is a regional and international battle, not a domestic one.”

Egypt’s 3 July, 2013 coup that ousted the country’s first democratically elected President Mohamed Morsi from power has been a bloody, botched and impalpable move to dislodge the emerging democratic system from the epic-center of the Arab world.

Egypt’s coup, despite its failures and deep opposition from all sections of Egyptian society, is not a temporary phenomenon. The global and regional powers that have orchestrated the coup would not let the opportunity go away to strengthen the already reinstalled pro status-quo deep state that ruled the country for decades.

The 3 July 2013 coup was not an internal subject for the Egyptians to deal with. Moreover, the coup was an international project of the United States (US), European Union (EU), monarchies of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Israel and Russia to a certain extent. Though Russia might not have actively participated in the orchestration of the coup. We must remember that Muslim Brotherhood (MB) has been a banned organisation in Russia where Russia’s Supreme Court outlawed the Muslim Brotherhood from operating in Russia in 2003, describing it as a terrorist organisation.

After MB’s ascendance to power in Egypt, Russian authorities were in limbo as to what to do with the MB ban. Egypt is a country that forms the backbone of the region’s anatomy; status-quoits would do their best to keep Egypt in oblivion as they did with three decades of Mubarak rule. Egypt under Mubarak got withered and had willingly left the void in the region by surrendering its regional leadership.

International importance of Egypt is largely for the sustenance of Israeli occupation of Palestine; pro-Israel Egypt is a must for the endurance and longevity of Israel. The United States would do everything to ensure the safety and security of Israel in the highly volatile region.

Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), a bloc of Arab Gulf monarchies led by Saudi Arabia with loaded coffers, thanks to fossil fuel exports, would do its best to keep Muslim Brotherhood from gaining power in Egypt. Their fear is a parable of huge insecurity they have with the political ascendance of MB in its birth place. If Brotherhood gains power in Egypt, it will be a challenge for both Israel and Gulf Arab Sheikhdoms. Their own people will question the usefulness of empires and kings with huge coffers when they are not able to make even a convenient force to help the Arab victims of Israeli aggression.

On 15 November it was reported that the visit of Russian Foreign and Defence Ministers has strengthen the coup regime and Russians have inked the deal to sell modern helicopters, air defence system and maintenance of soviet military equipment in Egyptian inventory.

It is worth mentioning here that the erstwhile Soviet Union, the predecessor of today’s Russia, was the strategic partner and the largest arms supplier of Egypt under Nasser and was replaced by the Americans after the signing of Camp David Accord in 1979.

United States Secretary of State John Kerry, termed by many as one of the key master planners of Egypt’s coup, on 20 November, for the first time candidly acknowledged US orchestration of coup when he accused Muslim Brotherhood of ‘stealing’ the revolution in Egypt.

On 23 November Egypt’s junta regime expelled Turkish ambassador in Cairo after Turkey’s continued anti-coup postures. Turkish officials, especially Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, have strongly condemned the bloody military takeover, urging western and Muslim countries to recognise it as “a coup.”
It is worth mention that Egypt has lost many of its best brains during the military crackdown on protestors; numerous entrepreneurs, university professors, medical professionals and technocrats have been killed or fatally injured during anti-coup protests and sit-ins.

Egypt’s sporting icons are facing bans for opposing the coup that will ultimately affect the performance of teams and sports they represent for their country respectively. World Kung-fu gold medalist Mohammed Yusuf was banned for two years for wearing Rabia-figured shirt. Ahly’s striker Ahmed Abdul Zaher was also banned for gesturing four-finger Rabia sign after striking goal in the final of African Champions’ League, Golden Boy of Egypt’s football. The gesture has become a symbol of resistance to coup and solidarity with the imprisoned President Morsi. Abu Treka was also fined for refusing to take medal after Ahly’s Africa cup victory, from junta appointed Sports Minister.

In Egypt it’s all very strongly linked with economy and bread or food on the table .It is a well-established fact that Egypt is facing general strikes every day by its civil servants, factory workers who are forced to go back to work by security forces without salaries and wages for the last three months. Only military, police and other security personnel are getting their, increased, salary on time. Despite all the harsh realities that the coup has brought to ordinary Egyptians the security and intelligence network of the junta regime with the help of judiciary is extremely strong to sustain the prolonged coup.

It is significant to add here that most of the Egypt’s anti coup leaders are either scientists, engineers or medical professionals unlike pro-coupists who are mainly film artists, singers, dancers and writers. Suffice it say here that the coup in Egypt is a well-orchestrated plan of pro status-quo regional and global powers and the fight against the annulment of coup is a long battle where economy and internal security of the country is deteriorating by each passing day. The outside intrigue and later complete material backing of the 3 July coup makes it a long drawn battle to accomplish the return of democracy in Egypt.

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